Generic tech often replaces more specific h/w. Something similar is happening with USB: supporting power lets it displace the alternatives.
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It's so hard to talk about probabilities. Casual conversation often conflates 'the likelihood of an event happening' with 'how strongly I believe in my assessment'.
For example, I'm very confident (say 90%) that the coin in my pocket is 50% likely to land on heads.
Atlassian created Stride in 2017, already had Hipchat, and it's now deprecating both in favour of Slack: https://www.atlassian.com/blog/announcements/new-atlassian-slack-partnership
Consolidation is happening very quickly! It reduces the number of self-hosted options though.
It's really good to see development happening on Jekyll -- I was this close to rolling my own.